EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
+3 more outcomesView event →
Markets
2,009 live Polymarket markets in 615 events- LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 23 PTS
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks94.1¢+22.6¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · COIN PRICEBTC (Binance): +0.7% in the move hour, +1.3% over 24 hours. - EVENT · 19 OUTCOMES
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
+14 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
+1 more outcomesView event → - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 18 PTS
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver36.5¢−11¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 35.5–47.5¢ · explanation pending - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Change in points, 24hView event →Milwaukee Brewers · 7 daysRange 27–66% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 63–84% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 16 PTS
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks50¢−9.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCENot enough evidence for a likely driver yet. - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 13 PTS
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks53¢+14¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · COIN PRICEETH (Binance): +1.1% in the move hour, +1.0% over 24 hours. - EVENT · 25 OUTCOMES
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
+20 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%±0≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)13%±0Dilution of Iran's Uranium13%▲ 1Enriched Uranium Surrender11%▲ 6Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver59.5¢+11¢ 7d7 daysRange 48.5–66.5¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks61¢+9.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 51.5–61¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →March 31 · 7 daysRange 57–68% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver11.05¢+5.2¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 5.85–13.45¢ - EVENT · 16 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
San Francisco 49ers26%▲ 4Los Angeles Rams14%▼ 4Seattle Seahawks12%±0Chicago Bears11%▲ 2Minnesota Vikings9%▲ 2+11 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bo French (R) · 7 daysRange 40–59% - LowGotcha
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver36.5¢+6¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 30.5–37.5¢ - EVENT · 15 OUTCOMES
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro73%▲ 2Delcy Rodríguez17%▼ 5No Head of State2%±0Jorge Rodríguez<1%±0Edmundo González<1%±0+10 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 15 OUTCOMES
NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion
Carolina Hurricanes19%±0Florida Panthers18%±0Tampa Bay Lightning13%▲ 1Washington Capitals10%±0Ottawa Senators7%±0+10 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 20 OUTCOMES
EPL: 2027 Champion
+15 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →June 30, 2027 · 7 daysRange 44–64% - EVENT · 12 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion
Buffalo Bills21%▲ 1Kansas City Chiefs18%±0Baltimore Ravens14%±0Jacksonville Jaguars12%±0New England Patriots8%▼ 1+7 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 30 OUTCOMES
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
+25 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia71%▲ 2Student List – Students Win31%▼ 1Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%±0Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%±0Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%±0+5 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chiang Wan-an · 7 daysRange 57–68% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 19 OUTCOMES
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
+14 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 22 OUTCOMES
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
+17 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 45–69% - LowGotcha
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions21.5¢−4¢ 7d7 daysRange 19–26.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 82–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 63–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lauren Boebert (R) · 7 daysFlat at 72% - EVENT · 43 OUTCOMES
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
+38 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 14–18% - LowGotcha
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver25¢−4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 22.5–32.5¢ - EVENT · 32 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
San Francisco 49ers15%▲ 2Buffalo Bills12%±0Kansas City Chiefs11%▲ 1Los Angeles Rams9%▼ 2Baltimore Ravens7%▼ 1+27 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Abbott (R) · 7 daysRange 73–80% - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Fed Decision in October?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Fed Decision in December?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 19 OUTCOMES
Commanders vs. 49ers
+14 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 7 daysRange 69–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Sherrod Brown (D) · 7 daysRange 62–69% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+1 more outcomesView event →