Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
34¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 34%
$243.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria are clearly defined based on an objective, single-source price feed. The outcome relies strictly on whether the high of any one-minute candle on Binance's ETH/USDT market reaches or exceeds $3,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action on other exchanges or alternative trading pairs is explicitly excluded, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH) reaches a price of $3,000 or higher by December 31, 2026, based strictly on 1-minute candle high prices on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $3,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action prior to market creation does not qualify. The market resolves to No if the ETH/USDT price on Binance does not reach $3,000 on any 1-minute candle by the deadline. Resolution is determined solely by Binance 1-minute candle data for the ETH/USDT pair, excluding all other exchanges, trading pairs, and spot markets.
Key dates
- Market deadline: — Evaluation period ends at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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