PolymarketEvent30 live of 30 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

30 live outcomes · highest priced: ↑ 90,000 at 56% (+2 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $69.9M total volume

About this event

This event tracks whether the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) will reach specified price targets between late November 2025 and the end of December 2026. Each market evaluates a specific price threshold.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of a ladder of individual price threshold markets. Because these markets represent standalone price targets, multiple markets can resolve Yes if Bitcoin reaches or surpasses several upward or downward price levels during the observation window.

How it resolves

A market immediately resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET records a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the market's title. If the price does not reach the specified target within this timeframe, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; other exchanges and trading pairs are not considered.

Key dates

  • Start of observation window: — November 24, 2025, at 14:00 ET
  • End of observation window: — December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET

Resolution source

Binance (BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
↑ 90,00056%▲ 2LowMed
↓ 70,00040%▲ 1LowMed
↑ 95,00035%▼ 1LowMed
↓ 65,00024%±0LowMed
↑ 100,00021%±0LowMed
↓ 60,00016%▼ 1LowMed
↓ 55,00011%▲ 1LowHigh
↑ 110,00010%▲ 1LowHigh
↓ 50,0008%±0LowHigh
↑ 120,0006%±0LowHigh
↓ 45,0005%±0LowHigh
↓ 40,0003%±0LowHigh
↑ 130,0003%±0LowHigh
↑ 140,0003%±0LowHigh
↑ 150,0002%±0LowHigh
↑ 160,0002%±0LowHigh
↓ 35,0002%±0LowHigh
↑ 170,0002%±0LowHigh
↓ 30,0002%±0LowHigh
↑ 180,0002%±0LowHigh
↓ 25,0001%±0LowHigh
↑ 190,0001%±0LowHigh
↓ 20,0001%±0LowHigh
↑ 200,0001%±0LowHigh
↓ 15,0001%±0LowHigh
↑ 250,000<1%±0LowHigh
↓ 10,000<1%±0LowHigh
↓ 5,000<1%±0LowHigh
↑ 500,000<1%±0LowHigh
↑ 1,000,000<1%±0LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

↑ 90,000 · 7 daysRange 51–69%