Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

This event tracks which candidate will win the most valid votes cast from abroad in the second round of Brazil's presidential election.

How the outcomes relate

The event contains one outcome per candidate. Because markets resolve to the single candidate occupying the highest finishing position among votes cast outside Brazil, at most one candidate outcome can resolve Yes, while all others resolve No.

How it resolves

Each market resolves Yes for the candidate who secures the most valid votes from voters abroad in the second round of the presidential election, defined as votes cast outside Brazil and reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under 'Exterior'. If candidates tie in votes, ties are broken alphabetically by their listed full names. If the definitive election outcome is not known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with official TSE data used if ambiguity arises.

Key dates

• Second round election date: Oct 25, 2026 — Date the second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil.
• Definitive resolution deadline: Jun 30, 2027 — Market resolves to 'Other' if the election result is not definitively known by 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting, or the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 18 Oct 2026, 00:32 UTC