Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
6.35¢
+0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.35%
$5.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market defines resolution clearly based on the first person formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in 2028 who accepts the nomination. The resolution source relies on official Democratic Party channels, leaving minimal room for subjective interpretation or discretion. An explicit clause clarifies that any subsequent replacement after the initial formal nomination will not alter the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Andy Beshear will be the Democratic Party's nominee for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Andy Beshear is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves to No if someone else is the first person to receive and accept the formal nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the outcome once resolved. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including the official Democratic Party website
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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