Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?
Current price
99.1¢
+1.7¢ · 24h
Implied probability 99.1%
$8.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective resolution criteria. It identifies an exact time, date, timezone, trading pair, exchange, and candle interval to determine the outcome. Resolution relies on a single verifiable metric—the final close price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on October 21—leaving essentially no discretion to the resolver and little ambiguity for participants.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $76,000 on October 21 at precisely 12:00 PM ET. Resolution relies strictly on a specific 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair rather than aggregate market prices or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 21 has a final Close price strictly higher than $76,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or below $76,000. Resolution relies solely on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance and disregards prices from other exchanges or pairs. Price precision matches the decimal places provided by the source.
Key dates
- Observation time: — Price measured at the close of the 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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