Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?
Current price
1.95¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.95%
$64.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria with minimal risk of surprising resolution mechanics. The target price of $3,200 is evaluated against a single, explicitly designated source: the High metric on Binance's 1-minute ETH/USDT chart. The timeframe covers the entire calendar month of October in Eastern Time, from the start of the first day to the end of the last day. The market resolves to Yes immediately upon any eligible 1-minute candle hitting or exceeding the threshold, or to No after the month closes if the target is not reached. Only Binance ETH/USDT prices count, excluding data from other pairs or exchanges.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of $3,200 or greater on Binance during October. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's ETH/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $3,200 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds that price threshold within the specified period. Prices from other exchanges, alternate trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded. Resolution is determined strictly using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Key dates
- Observation period start: — Starts at 00:00 AM ET
- Observation period end: — Ends at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance (ETH/USDT 1-minute chart High prices)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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