Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
14¢
−4.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 14%
$758.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market rules provide a precise, objective resolution standard tied directly to a single named source and specific chart settings. The outcome resolves immediately to Yes if any one-minute ETH/USDT candle on Binance registers a final Low price of $1,750 or lower before the December 31, 2026 cutoff, and resolves to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion or ambiguity regarding which trading pair or timeframe governs the result, though participants should be aware that exchange-specific flash wicks on Binance will trigger resolution regardless of prices on other platforms.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum drops to $1,750 or lower by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle low prices from the Binance ETH/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) records a final Low price of $1,750 or lower between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 23:59 ET. The market resolves to No if no qualifying 1-minute candle reaches $1,750 or lower by that deadline. The deciding source is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT 1-minute chart Low prices. Price data from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or other markets do not count toward resolution.
Key dates
- Market End: — Cutoff time in ET for the Binance 1-minute ETH/USDT price to reach $1,750 or lower.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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