Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 22?
Current price
99.35¢
Implied probability 99.35%
$5.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria. It specifies an exact resolution source (Binance BTC/USDT), an exact timeframe (the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 22), and an exact metric (the candle's Close price). There is virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $72,000 at a specific minute on October 22. It is strictly evaluated using a single 1-minute candle on Binance rather than a daily high, average price, or data from other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 22 has a final Close price strictly higher than $72,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $72,000 at that exact candle. Resolution is determined exclusively using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision based on the decimal places provided by the source.
Key dates
- Target candle close: — The 1-minute BTC/USDT candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 22.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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