Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?
Current price
74.5¢
+7¢ · 24h
Implied probability 74.5%
$15.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves according to clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. It relies entirely on a single specified data source, the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart, requiring a high of at least $2,500 before 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The exact trading pair, chart interval, and cutoff deadline are explicitly defined, leaving no subjective discretion to the resolving party.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of at least $2,500 on Binance during October. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data and excludes prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT records a final High price of $2,500 or greater between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October. Price action before market creation is disregarded. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds $2,500 during this timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- End of October: — End of the observation window at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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