PolymarketCloses · in 2 daysPart of Bitcoin above ___ on October 22? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?

Current price

19¢

+2¢ · 24h

Implied probability 19%
$1.4K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 14.5–35.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The rules provide precise and objective resolution criteria. The market relies on a single specified data point: the close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on October 22 directly on Binance. A specific URL and interface configuration are supplied, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $28.4K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
10¢20¢30¢40¢16:3100:3008:2816:26
10¢20¢30¢40¢Oct 18Oct 18Oct 19Oct 19
18¢20¢22¢24¢26¢Oct 18Oct 19Oct 19Oct 19

Why it moved

Up 11 points · 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability of Bitcoin being above $84,000 rose from 22% to 33% as Bitcoin gained 0.51% on Binance during the hour of the move, narrowing the gap to the threshold.

  • Largest hourly change: 09:00 UTC, 52% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +0.5% in the move hour, +1.3% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 19 Oct 2026, 07:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $84,000 on October 22, 2026, specifically looking at a single 1-minute candle close on Binance.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 22 has a final Close price higher than $84,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or below $84,000. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT price data and ignores other exchanges or trading pairs, with precision determined by the source's decimal places.

Key dates

  • Resolution evaluation time: — 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle close on Binance BTC/USDT

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Community forecast

Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.