Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?
Current price
2.7¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.7%
$57.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria with very low resolution risk. The rules identify a single specific data source, the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart, and explicitly state that it resolves immediately to Yes if any candle's final High price reaches or exceeds $3,100 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Time zones, candle intervals, trading pair constraints, and alternative sources are clearly defined, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $3,100 on Binance during the month of October. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance, disregarding other trading pairs and exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair shows a final High price equal to or greater than $3,100 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds this price threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart, and data from other exchanges or trading pairs is disregarded.
Key dates
- Start of October period: — Observation window begins at 00:00 AM ET.
- End of October period: — Observation window concludes at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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