Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
Current price
65.5¢
−2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 65.5%
$178.6 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolving the point spread outcome, explicitly stating that the 49ers must win by 4 or more points, that overtime counts, and that all other game outcomes resolve to the Commanders. Handling for postponements and total cancellations is fully specified, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or disputed outcomes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome for the NFL game between the Washington Commanders and the San Francisco 49ers, specifically whether the 49ers cover a 3.5-point spread.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 4 or more points. The market resolves to "Commanders" in all other scenarios, which includes a Commanders outright win or a 49ers win by 3 or fewer points. Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: — The NFL football game between the Commanders and 49ers is scheduled to start at 8:15 PM ET.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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