Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Flavio Bolsonaro at 92% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 26, 2026 · $22K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which candidate will receive the most valid votes in the state of Minas Gerais during the second round of Brazil's presidential election scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market represents a specific candidate's bid to win first place in the state.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of candidate-specific markets. Because the rules specify resolving to the single candidate who receives the most valid votes (with ties broken alphabetically), at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its listed candidate wins the most valid votes in Minas Gerais during the second round of the presidential election. If two or more candidates tie, the tie is broken alphabetically by their listed full names. If the result is not definitively known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other". Determination relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE) resolving any ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election second round: — Scheduled date of the second round of the presidential election.
- Resolution deadline: — Results must be known definitively by 11:59 PM ET or the market resolves to "Other".
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Brazilian government via the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 92% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Lula | 8% | ▲ 4 | Low | Med |