EVENT · 5 OUTCOMESFed Decision in October?No change85%▼ 225 bps increase14%▲ 125 bps decrease<1%±050+ bps increase<1%±050+ bps decrease<1%±0Change in points, 24hView event →
EVENT · 5 OUTCOMESFed Decision in December?25 bps increase77%▲ 1No change20%▼ 250+ bps increase3%±025 bps decrease1%±050+ bps decrease<1%±0Change in points, 24hView event →
EVENT · 6 OUTCOMESWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$1.5T86%▲ 2↑$1.75T69%▲ 2↑$2.0T56%—↑$3.0T18%▲ 3↑$4.0T6%±0+1 more outcomesView event →
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMESCrude Oil all time high by...?March 31, 202723%▼ 1December 3111%▼ 2Change in points, 24hView event →March 31, 2027 · 7 daysRange 18–28%
EVENT · 4 OUTCOMESHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?2 (50 bps)68%±01 (25 bps)21%▼ 23 (75 bps)10%±04 (100 bps)1%±0Change in points, 24hView event →
EVENT · 3 OUTCOMESFed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike68%▼ 1Hike–Pause–Pause19%±0Hike–Hike–Hike11%▲ 2Change in points, 24hView event →Hike–Pause–Hike · 7 daysRange 51–69%
EVENT · 6 OUTCOMESWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?↑ $1203%▼ 1↓ $752%±0↓ $701%±0↓ $651%±0↑ $150<1%▼ 1+1 more outcomesView event →
EVENT · 12 OUTCOMESHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)97%±01 (25 bps)1%±02 (50 bps)<1%±04 (100 bps)<1%±03 (75 bps)<1%±0+7 more outcomesView event →
EVENT · 5 OUTCOMESFed Decision in January?No change65%▲ 225 bps increase35%±025 bps decrease2%±050+ bps increase1%±050+ bps decrease1%±0Change in points, 24hView event →
EVENT · 3 OUTCOMESBank of England decision in November?No change7%—25 bps decrease1%—50+ bps increase<1%—Change in points, 24hView event →No change · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 7%
EVENT · 7 OUTCOMESLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?OpenAI<1%±0ByteDance<1%±0Waymo<1%±0Revolut<1%±0Discord<1%±0+2 more outcomesView event →
EVENT · 3 OUTCOMESAnthropic announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 202924%±0December 31, 202818%▼ 1December 31, 202710%±0Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2029 · 7 daysRange 22–26%
EVENT · 10 OUTCOMESWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?3.5%2%±03.25%<1%±01.25<1%±02.25%<1%±02.5%<1%±0+5 more outcomesView event →
EVENT · 5 OUTCOMESIPOs before 2027?Fannie Mae3%—OpenAI3%±0ByteDance2%±0Mistral AI2%±0WHOOP1%±0Change in points, 24hView event →
EVENT · 2 OUTCOMESOpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 202922%±0December 31, 202817%±0Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2029 · 7 daysRange 19–22%
EVENT · 4 OUTCOMESWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?↑ 5.0%3%±0↓ 2.75%3%±0↓ 2.25%2%±0↓ 1.75%1%±0Change in points, 24hView event →