Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
6.75¢
−0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.75%
$9.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, including the party's official website. Additionally, the rules explicitly clarify that any replacement of the nominee after the initial formal nomination will not alter the resolution, preventing ambiguity around late-stage ticket changes.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Gretchen Whitmer will become the 2028 Democratic nominee for Vice President of the United States. Notably, resolution is tied to the first person formally nominated who accepts, meaning any subsequent replacement before election day does not alter the outcome.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Gretchen Whitmer is the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if another individual is the first to be formally nominated and accepts the nomination. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. A consensus of official Democratic Party sources determines the resolution.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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