PolymarketCloses · in 255 daysPart of NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion →

Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?

Current price

11.5¢

−0.5¢ · 24h

Implied probability 11.5%
$8K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 11–13.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The market clearly defines the winning condition as the team that wins the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Finals, relying primarily on official NHL information. Market participants should note the early resolution clause, which resolves the market to 'No' immediately if the team is mathematically eliminated before the finals conclude. Additionally, if the season is cancelled or delayed past June 30, 2027 without a champion crowned, the market specifies resolution to 'Other'.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Med

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $205.7K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
11¢12¢13¢14¢19:1103:1011:0819:06
10¢11¢12¢13¢14¢Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18
10¢12¢14¢16¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 22Oct 18

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 Eastern Conference Finals per the rules of NHL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Tampa Bay Lightning will win the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2027 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the team to win the 2027 Eastern Conference Finals under NHL rules, such as after playoff elimination. The market resolves to Other if the 2027 NHL season is cancelled, postponed past June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is determined using official information from the NHL or a consensus of credible reporting.

Key dates

  • Season completion deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the season is cancelled, postponed past 11:59 PM ET on this date, or no winner is declared

Resolution source

Official information from NHL, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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