Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Current price
7.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 7.5%
$33.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official NFL results confirming whether the New England Patriots win the 2027 AFC Championship Game. The primary resolution source is the official NFL website, with credible reporting available as a secondary check. Participants should note the early resolution clause: if the team is eliminated from playoff contention or otherwise mathematically unable to win the AFC Championship prior to the game, the market will resolve early to No. If the game is cancelled or postponed past March 31, 2027, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the New England Patriots will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the New England Patriots win the 2027 AFC championship game. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the team to win the championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated from playoff contention. The market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared by that date. Resolution is determined by official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff date: — If the championship game is postponed past this date or no winner is declared, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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