Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
14.9¢
+2.25¢ · 24h
Implied probability 14.9%
$1.7M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly designate the winner of the 2027 NFL championship as the deciding outcome, relying on the official NFL website as the primary source. The rules explicitly permit early resolution to No if the team is mathematically eliminated or knocked out of playoff contention prior to the championship game. If the championship is cancelled or postponed beyond March 31, 2027, the market resolves to Other, providing a clear backstop.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the San Francisco 49ers will win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market can resolve to No early if the team is eliminated from contention prior to the final game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the team to win the championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared by that date. Resolution is determined using official information from the NFL, with a consensus of credible reporting serving as a secondary source.
Key dates
- Championship declaration deadline: — Postponement beyond this date triggers an Other resolution
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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