Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
19 live outcomes · highest priced: Harry Kane at 67% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 31, 2026 · $46.9M total volume
About this event
This event tracks the recipient of the 2026 Ballon d'Or award. Individual markets measure whether specific nominated footballers will be officially named the winner of the award.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains one market per candidate. Because the Ballon d'Or is awarded to a single recipient, at most one market for an individual player can resolve Yes. If a winner is declared, the market for that player resolves Yes while the others resolve No; if no winner is declared by the deadline, the market resolves to "Other".
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or. A market for a specific player resolves Yes if that player is declared the winner by the official source. If no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other". Resolution is determined using official information from France Football.
Key dates
- Resolution Deadline: — December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET deadline by which a winner must be declared or the market resolves to "Other"
Resolution source
France Football
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 67% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Lamine Yamal | 27% | ▼ 1 | Low | High | |
| Lionel Messi | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Kylian Mbappé | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Rodri | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Ousmane Dembélé | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Erling Haaland | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Michael Olise | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Fabian Ruiz | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Jude Bellingham | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Vinícius Júnior | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Declan Rice | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Vitinha | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Achraf Hakimi | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Bruno Fernandes | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Luis Diaz | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Pau Cubarsi | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |