Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Current price
17.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 17.5%
$173.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define resolution based on which team wins the 2027 AFC Championship Game, referencing official NFL information as the primary source. The terms specify that the market can resolve to No early if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention, and establish a clear backstop date of March 31, 2027, resolving to Other if the game is cancelled or postponed past that point.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Thin book — large orders will move this price. At the daily check: a spread of 5¢ or more (or none quoted), or less than $2K within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Kansas City Chiefs will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship Game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 AFC Championship Game. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Kansas City Chiefs to win the championship per NFL rules, such as playoff elimination. The market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is decided using official information from the NFL, with a consensus of credible reporting used as an alternative.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff date: — Game must have a declared winner by this date ET or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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