PolymarketEvent22 live of 27 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

22 live outcomes · highest priced: ↓ 80,000 at 75% · first close Nov 1, 2026 · $7.5M total volume

About this event

This event tracks whether the price of Bitcoin will reach various price thresholds during the month of October. Markets measure whether Bitcoin's BTC/USDT price on Binance meets or exceeds specific target levels.

How the outcomes relate

The event is organized as a ladder of price thresholds. Multiple markets can resolve Yes, as reaching a higher price threshold implies that lower upward thresholds have also been achieved within the period.

How it resolves

A market will resolve immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair has a final High price equal to or greater than the specified target price during October (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last day). Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome depends entirely on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not considered.

Key dates

  • Start of measurement period: 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October
  • End of measurement period: 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
↓ 80,00075%—LowMed
↑ 85,00052%▲ 4LowMed
↓ 77,50043%▼ 5LowHigh
↑ 87,50028%▲ 2LowHigh
↓ 75,00025%▼ 3LowHigh
↑ 90,00017%▲ 1LowHigh
↓ 72,50013%▼ 1LowHigh
↑ 92,5009%▲ 1LowHigh
↓ 70,0008%▼ 2LowHigh
↓ 67,5003%▼ 1LowHigh
↑ 95,0003%±0LowHigh
↓ 65,0003%±0LowHigh
↑ 97,5002%±0LowHigh
↓ 62,5002%±0LowHigh
↓ 60,0001%±0LowHigh
↑ 100,0001%±0LowHigh
↑ 105,0001%±0LowHigh
↑ 102,5001%±0LowHigh
↑ 150,000<1%±0LowLow
↓ 80,000——LowLow
↓ 82,500——LowLow
↑ 82,500——LowLow
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?——Not rated—
↓ 82,500——Not rated—
↓ 82,500——Not rated—
↑ 82,500——Not rated—
↑ 82,500——Not rated—

Highest-priced outcome

↓ 80,000 · Since 00:56 UTCRange 67–84%