PolymarketCloses · in 1 dayPart of Ethereum above ___ on October 21? →

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?

Current price

56¢

+12.5¢ · 24h

Implied probability 56%
$5.3K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 28–72¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules provide precise and objective resolution criteria. The market specifies the exact trading pair (ETH/USDT), exchange (Binance), time interval (1-minute candle), and timestamp (12:00 PM ET on October 21) used to evaluate the price. Because resolution depends on a single deterministic data point from a specified URL with clear precision guidelines, there is virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretation.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $18.7K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
20¢40¢60¢80¢14:5622:5506:5314:51
20¢40¢60¢80¢Oct 18Oct 18Oct 19Oct 19
54¢55¢56¢57¢58¢Oct 18Oct 19Oct 19Oct 19

Why it moved

Up 10 points · 18 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 55% to 66% as Ethereum gained 1.05% on Binance in the move hour, making it more likely to close above $2,400.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 91% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.1% in the move hour, +0.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 19 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Binance ETH/USDT price is above $2,400 at a specific minute on October 21. It relies exclusively on Binance's ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data rather than a composite index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 21 has a final Close price strictly higher than $2,400. The market resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $2,400, or if that condition is not met. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart, using the price precision determined by the source.

Key dates

  • Target evaluation time: — The 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET is evaluated.

Resolution source

Binance

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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