Spread: 49ers (-5.5)
Current price
59.5¢
+0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 59.5%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify the conditions for each outcome based on the final margin of victory, noting that the 49ers must win by 6 or more points to cover the -5.5 spread. Overtime is explicitly included, and clear contingency rules are provided in the event of a postponement or outright cancellation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the San Francisco 49ers will defeat the Washington Commanders by 6 or more points in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 6 or more points, with overtime included if played. The market resolves to "Commanders" in all other scenarios, including if the Commanders win, if the game ends in a tie, or if the 49ers win by 5 points or fewer. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely without a make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: — Game scheduled between the Commanders and 49ers
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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