Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
30.5¢
+7¢ · 24h
Implied probability 30.5%
$581.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide precise and objective criteria. Outcome determination relies strictly on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, resolving to Yes if any candle's final low reaches $2,000 or lower before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and No otherwise. The data source, timeframe, metric (1-minute candle low), and trading pair are explicitly defined with no room for decider interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) dips to $2,000 or below on Binance by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute Binance candle for ETH/USDT records a final High or Low price at or below $2,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or breaches this price threshold during the specified timeframe. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded, and data from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets does not count. Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome.
Key dates
- End date: — 11:59 PM ET on the final day for the price condition to be met.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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