Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
Current price
62¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 62%
Volume not captured · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution criteria clearly define how the point spread operates, specifying that a win by five or more points resolves the market to the 49ers, with all other outcomes resolving to the Commanders. Overtime is explicitly included, and clear contingency rules handle postponements and complete cancellations. While an official reporting entity such as the NFL is not specifically named, the final score of a professional football game is unambiguous and universally verifiable.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of the NFL game between the Washington Commanders and the San Francisco 49ers.
How it resolves
The market resolves to "49ers" if the 49ers win the game by 5 or more points. The market resolves to "Commanders" in all other outcomes, including a Commanders win or a 49ers win by 4 or fewer points. Overtime counts if played. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game time: — Scheduled kickoff time for the Commanders vs. 49ers game.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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