EVENT · 9 OUTCOMES
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
+4 more outcomesView event →
Markets
2,434 live Polymarket markets in 778 eventsHide Low tradability778 cards · 2,434 markets
- LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 23 PTS
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks93.35¢+21.85¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · COIN PRICEBTC (Binance): +0.7% in the move hour, +1.3% over 24 hours. - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
+3 more outcomesView event → - MedGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 19 PTS
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions61.5¢−14¢ 7d7 daysRange 60–82.5¢ · explanation pending - EVENT · 19 OUTCOMES
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
+14 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
+1 more outcomesView event → - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 18 PTS
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver38¢−9.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 35.5–47.5¢ · explanation pending - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Change in points, 24hView event →Milwaukee Brewers · 7 daysRange 27–66% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 63–84% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 16 PTS
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks50¢−9.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCENot enough evidence for a likely driver yet. - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 86–97% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 13 PTS
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks52¢+10¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · COIN PRICEETH (Binance): +1.1% in the move hour, +1.0% over 24 hours. - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 35–48% - EVENT · 25 OUTCOMES
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
+20 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 23–36% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 80–95% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 30–38% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%±0≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)13%±0Dilution of Iran's Uranium13%▲ 1Enriched Uranium Surrender11%▲ 7Iran Reconstruction Funding9%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2026 · 7 daysRange 34–47% - LowGotcha
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver59.5¢+11¢ 7d7 daysRange 48.5–66.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 69–82% - MedGotcha
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions40.2¢+5.45¢ 7d7 daysRange 29.4–41.55¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 31–42% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks60.5¢+9¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 51.5–60.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver11¢+5.15¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 5.85–13.45¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 30–43% - EVENT · 16 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
San Francisco 49ers26%▲ 4Los Angeles Rams13%▼ 4Seattle Seahawks12%±0Chicago Bears11%▲ 2Minnesota Vikings9%▲ 2+11 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bo French (R) · 7 daysRange 40–59% - LowGotcha
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver36.5¢+6¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 30.5–37.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
Change in points, 24hView event →Florida · 7 daysRange 11–17% - EVENT · 16 OUTCOMES
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro73%▲ 2Delcy Rodríguez17%▼ 4No Head of State2%±0María Corina Machado1%±0Jorge Rodríguez<1%±0+11 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40%▼ 1Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%▼ 4Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 2Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%10%▲ 1Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%±0+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 23–32% - MedGotcha
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 2 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions9.8¢+7.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.5–9.8¢ - EVENT · 15 OUTCOMES
NHL: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion
Carolina Hurricanes19%±0Florida Panthers18%±0Tampa Bay Lightning13%▲ 1Washington Capitals10%±0Ottawa Senators7%±0+10 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 6–12% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →June 30, 2027 · 7 daysRange 44–64% - EVENT · 12 OUTCOMES
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
+7 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 12 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion
Buffalo Bills21%▲ 1Kansas City Chiefs17%▼ 1Baltimore Ravens14%±0Jacksonville Jaguars12%▼ 1New England Patriots9%▲ 1+7 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Next leader out of power before 2027?
None before 202751%▼ 5Netanyahu - Israel PM31%▲ 2Sánchez - Spanish PM3%▼ 2Xi - General Secretary of the CCP<1%±0Putin - Russia President<1%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 30 OUTCOMES
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
+25 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia69%±0Student List – Students Win31%▼ 1Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%±0Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%±0Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%±0+5 more outcomesView event →