Michigan Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Abdul El-Sayed (D) at 69% (−2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $1.9M total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate election. Individual markets measure whether a specific political party's nominee wins the seat, inclusive of any run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for a single Senate seat. Because there is only one winning candidate or party for the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes. Candidates from other parties or independents may be added later.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the nominee of the specified party wins the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election (inclusive of run-offs). Independent candidates are not included under the Democratic or Republican options. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If they do not agree, resolution will rely on the official certification.
Key dates
- Election Year: The year of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed (D) | 69% | ▼ 2 | Low | High | |
| Mike Rogers (R) | 33% | ▲ 2 | Low | High |