EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Iran leadership change by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →
Markets
20 live Polymarket markets in 13 events- HighGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 25 PTS
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver38¢−5.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · RELATED OUTCOMES6 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: October 28 (up), October 31 (up), November 8 (down). - HighGotcha
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMWordingExceptionsResolver38.45¢−1.45¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 37.5–39.9¢ - HighGotcha
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHExceptions80.5¢+1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 77.5–87¢ - HighGotcha
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGHResolverWording1.25¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.25–1.35¢ - HighGotcha
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGHWordingExceptions0.25¢−0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.25–0.7¢ - HighGotcha
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMWordingExceptionsResolver27.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 27.5¢ - HighGotcha
Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWordingTiming0.55¢+0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.15–0.6¢ - HighGotcha
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver9.5¢+2¢ 7d7 daysRange 7.5–9.5¢ - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Iran leader end of 2026?
Masoud Pezeshkian<1%±0Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf<1%±0Sadegh Larijani<1%±0Ali Motahari<1%±0Sadegh Mahsouli<1%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - HighGotcha
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTimingExceptions+124.5¢±0¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Flat at 24.5¢ - HighGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMWordingExceptionsResolver16.5¢−0.5¢ since Oct 16Since Oct 16Range 16.5–17¢ - HighGotcha
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions0.15¢−0.15¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 0.15–0.3¢