Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
6.2¢
+0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 6.2%
$2.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the winning condition as the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President in the 2028 election cycle who accepts the nomination. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, including the official party website. The criteria explicitly address potential edge cases by stating that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after the initial formal nomination will not alter the resolution, ensuring standard and predictable resolution mechanics.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Wes Moore will become the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution is locked by the first person to formally accept the nomination, even if they are later replaced before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Wes Moore is the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if any other individual is the first to be formally nominated and accept the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution. Resolution will be decided by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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