PolymarketCloses · in 163 daysPart of Pro Football: 2027 Champion →

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Current price

11.5¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 11.5%
$1.2M total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 8.5–12.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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This market relies on official NFL announcements to determine whether the Buffalo Bills win the league championship played in early 2027. The rules clearly provide for early resolution to 'No' as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title. If the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027, or no winner is crowned by that date, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $36.1K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
11.2¢11.4¢11.6¢11.8¢17:4601:4409:4317:41
8¢10¢12¢14¢Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
5¢10¢15¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 23Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Buffalo Bills will win the 2027 NFL league championship. It features an early No resolution upon mathematical or playoff elimination, and resolves to Other if the game is cancelled or postponed past March 31, 2027.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Buffalo Bills to win the championship under NFL rules, such as elimination in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL determines the outcome, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Key dates

  • Championship completion deadline: — Game must take place and have a declared winner by this date ET or the market resolves to Other.

Resolution source

NFL

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Community forecast

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