Texas Governor Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Greg Abbott (R) at 74% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $578.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. Individual markets measure whether a specific political party's nominee or candidate will win the governor race.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party's nominee or candidate. The rules establish that markets resolve based on the single winner of the election, meaning at most one market can resolve Yes. Candidates representing other parties or running as independents may be added separately.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its specified party's nominee wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election, and No otherwise. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market resolves based on the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If they do not achieve consensus, resolution relies on official certification.
Key dates
- Election year: The Texas gubernatorial election takes place in 2026. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if consensus is not reached)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott (R) | 74% | ▼ 1 | Low | High | |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | 25% | ▼ 1 | Low | High |