Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Current price
9.5¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 9.5%
$42.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2027 NFC Championship Game as reported by the NFL, with credible reporting as a secondary backup. Participants should note the early resolution clause: if the Chicago Bears are eliminated from contention before the championship game, the market can immediately resolve to No. Additionally, if the championship game is cancelled or postponed beyond March 31, 2027, the market is specified to resolve to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Chicago Bears will win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFC championship game. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Chicago Bears to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per NFL rules, such as through playoff elimination. The market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement and resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the game is postponed past this date or no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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