Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?
Current price
0.85¢
+0.4¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.85%
$51.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear and objective mechanics for resolution. The outcome is determined strictly by Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair, with an explicit URL and exact chart settings designated as the sole resolution source. The active time window is precisely bounded in Eastern Time, and early resolution triggers immediately if the price threshold of $3,400 is met. Other exchanges and trading pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving virtually no room for discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of at least $3,400 on Binance during the month of October.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $3,400 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies solely on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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