Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current price
0.35¢
−0.1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.35%
$3M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market criteria are straightforward and unambiguously tied to the official winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or as announced by the award's organizing authority, France Football. A clear deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is established with a defined fallback resolution to Other if no winner is declared by then, leaving virtually no room for interpretive discretion or timing conflicts.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will be awarded the 2026 Ballon d'Or.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is announced as the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the award. The market resolves to Other if no winner for the 2026 Ballon d'Or is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Official information from France Football serves as the deciding source.
Key dates
- Winner announcement deadline: — If no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET on this date, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
France Football
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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