Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?
Current price
99.5¢
+0.3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 99.5%
$9.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has well-defined and deterministic resolution criteria. It evaluates a single, precise data point: the final Close price of the Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair at 12:00 PM ET on October 21. A direct link to the specific data feed and interface settings is provided, eliminating source ambiguity or decider discretion. The only minor consideration is that resolution relies strictly on Binance's BTC/USDT pair rather than an aggregate index across multiple exchanges or other fiat pairs, but the rules explicitly point this out.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $72,000 at a specific minute on October 21, 2026, determined strictly by Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on October 21, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $72,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is at or below $72,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data determines the outcome, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are disregarded. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.
Key dates
- Target evaluation time: — The 1-minute BTC/USDT candle closing at 12:00 PM ET is evaluated.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle close price
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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