PolymarketCloses · in 163 daysPart of Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion →

Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Current price

11.5¢

±0¢ · 24h

Implied probability 11.5%
$54.1K total volume · YES/NO

7-day range 8.5–12.5¢

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment

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The market resolves based on official NFL results regarding the winner of the 2027 AFC Championship Game, with a clear fallback to consensus reporting if needed. Participants should note the early resolution clause that triggers a No outcome as soon as the team is mathematically or formally eliminated from contention. Additionally, if the championship game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027, or fails to produce a declared winner by that date, the market resolves to Other rather than Yes or No.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Med

Liquidity

Medium tradability

Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.

Book depth $8.8K within 5¢ of mid
Price history range

Price history

Market price
8¢9¢10¢11¢12¢16:5600:5408:5316:51
8¢10¢12¢14¢Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
0¢5¢10¢15¢Jul 31Aug 27Sep 23Oct 19

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules history

Rules history is not displayed yet.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Jacksonville Jaguars will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship game.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 AFC championship game. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the Jacksonville Jaguars to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per NFL rules, such as being eliminated during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL is the primary deciding source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Key dates

  • Postponement and resolution cutoff: — The market resolves to Other if the game is postponed beyond this date or no winner is declared.

Resolution source

NFL or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

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