Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
66¢
−0.5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 66%
$1.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear and objective resolution criteria. It relies strictly on a single, named data source—the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart. The market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle's final Low price reaches or falls below $2,250 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and resolves to No otherwise. There is no discretion left to third-party interpretation, and the price source and timeframe are explicitly bounded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) dips to $2,250 or below by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies solely on 1-minute candle data from a single exchange trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of the market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final High or Low price equal to or below $2,250. Price action before the market's creation is excluded. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below this price within the coverage period. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of 2026
Resolution source
Binance
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