Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?
Current price
4.7¢
+0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4.7%
$137K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise and objective resolution conditions. Resolution relies strictly on a single, specified trading pair (ETH/USDT) and timeframe (1-minute candle High) on Binance, complete with a direct URL and exact calendar boundaries in Eastern Time. There is no discretion left to the resolver, and the rule explicitly excludes other exchanges or trading pairs, preventing conflicting data sources.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Ethereum price reaches $3,000 during October. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $3,000 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that price by the end of the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
Key dates
- Tracking period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Tracking period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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