Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?
Current price
1.8¢
+0.3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.8%
$10.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria with very low operational risk. Resolution relies on a single named data source, Binance BTC/USDT, and specifies the exact 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on the stated date. The threshold is defined strictly as higher than the target price, leaving no room for subjective interpretation or source discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $88,000 on October 22 according to a specific one-minute candle on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on October 22 has a final Close price strictly higher than $88,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or below $88,000. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT pair with 1m candles selected, and prices from other exchanges or pairs are excluded. Precision is determined by the decimal places provided by the source.
Key dates
- Target candle close: — 12:00 PM ET candle close
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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