Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
10.85¢
+1¢ · 24h
Implied probability 10.85%
$1.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly tracks whether the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL championship, with official NFL publications serving as the primary authority. Resolution rules include an early settlement provision that resolves the market to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title, such as failing to make or getting knocked out of the playoffs. Additionally, a clear backstop date of March 31, 2027 ET is defined in case the game is cancelled or postponed, leading to an Other resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Kansas City Chiefs will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Kansas City Chiefs to win the championship under NFL rules, including elimination during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution decisions are based on official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Championship resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past this date, or no winner is declared by this time.
Resolution source
Official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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