Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Flavio Bolsonaro at 73% · first close Oct 26, 2026 · $156.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which candidate will receive the most valid votes in the state of Amapá during the second round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election. Each market measures whether a specific named candidate secures first place in the state.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains mutually exclusive candidate options representing who will finish in first place by valid votes in Amapá. Because only one candidate can win the most valid votes (or win after alphabetical tie-breaking), at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the named candidate wins the most valid votes in Amapá in the second round of the presidential election. Candidates are ranked by valid vote count, with ties broken alphabetically by the candidates' listed full names. If the result is not definitively known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other". Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) serving as the fallback source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election second round: — Scheduled date for the second round of the presidential election in Amapá, Brazil.
- Resolution deadline: — If election results are not known definitively by 11:59 PM ET on this date, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or officially by the Brazilian government's Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 73% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Lula | 27% | ▼ 6 | Low | Med |