EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
+3 more outcomesView event →
Markets
1,699 live Polymarket markets in 599 events- LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 23 PTS
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks94.35¢+20.85¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · COIN PRICEBTC (Binance): +0.7% in the move hour, +1.3% over 24 hours. - EVENT · 18 OUTCOMES
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
+13 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Change in points, 24hView event →Milwaukee Brewers · 7 daysRange 27–66% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 63–84% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 16 PTS
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks49.5¢−7¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCENot enough evidence for a likely driver yet. - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 14 PTS
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks51.5¢+11.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · COIN PRICEETH (Binance): +1.1% in the move hour, +1.0% over 24 hours. - EVENT · 24 OUTCOMES
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
+19 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)14%±0≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)13%±0Dilution of Iran's Uranium13%▲ 1Enriched Uranium Surrender11%▲ 6Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks60.5¢+9¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 51.5–61¢ - LowGotcha
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver60¢+10.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 49.5–66.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →March 31 · 7 daysRange 57–68% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver10.85¢+5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 5.85–13.45¢ - EVENT · 16 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
San Francisco 49ers26%▲ 5Los Angeles Rams14%▼ 4Seattle Seahawks12%±0Chicago Bears11%▲ 2Minnesota Vikings9%▲ 2+11 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver36.5¢+6¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 30.5–37.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 26–50% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro73%▲ 1Delcy Rodríguez17%▼ 5No Head of State2%±0Jorge Rodríguez<1%±0Edmundo González<1%±0+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 14 OUTCOMES
EPL: 2027 Champion
+9 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →June 30, 2027 · 7 daysRange 44–64% - EVENT · 11 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion
Buffalo Bills21%▲ 1Baltimore Ravens14%±0Jacksonville Jaguars12%▲ 1New England Patriots8%▼ 1Denver Broncos8%▲ 1+6 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 30 OUTCOMES
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
+25 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia · 7 daysRange 61–75% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chiang Wan-an · 7 daysRange 57–68% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
+5 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 22 OUTCOMES
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
+17 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions21.5¢−4¢ 7d7 daysRange 19–26.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 82–96% - EVENT · 19 OUTCOMES
Commanders vs. 49ers
+14 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 63–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lauren Boebert (R) · 7 daysFlat at 72% - EVENT · 35 OUTCOMES
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
+30 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31 · 7 daysRange 14–18% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jamie Ager (D) · Since Oct 14Range 75–86% - LowGotcha
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver24.5¢−5¢ 7d7 daysRange 22.5–32.5¢ - EVENT · 32 OUTCOMES
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
San Francisco 49ers15%▲ 2Buffalo Bills12%±0Kansas City Chiefs11%▲ 1Los Angeles Rams9%▼ 2Baltimore Ravens7%▼ 1+27 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Abbott (R) · 7 daysRange 73–80% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Fed Decision in October?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Fed Decision in December?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 7 daysRange 69–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Sherrod Brown (D) · 7 daysRange 62–69% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 7 daysRange 88–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Su Chiao-hui · 7 daysRange 46–67% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chris Pappas (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91%