PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Chris Pappas (D) at 91% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $362.4K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire. Each market measures whether a specific political party (or nominee) wins the seat, including any necessary run-offs.

How the outcomes relate

The event contains individual markets representing political parties/candidates running for the single Senate seat. Because there is only one winner in the election, at most one market can resolve Yes, while the others will resolve No. Additional candidate options may be added later.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if its designated party's nominee wins the 2026 New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of run-offs; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not reach agreement, resolution relies on the state's official certification.

Key dates

  • Midterm Election Year: The election takes place during the 2026 midterm cycle. Date as stated: 2026.

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Chris Pappas (D)91%±0LowHigh
John E. Sununu (R)11%±0LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

Chris Pappas (D) · 7 daysRange 89–91%