NC-11 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Jamie Ager (D) at 79% (+3 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $56K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for North Carolina's 11th congressional district. Markets measure which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's party wins the NC-11 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all House races are called. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Ager (D) | 79% | ▲ 3 | Low | Med | |
| Jennifer Balkcom (R) | 19% | ▼ 6 | Low | Med |