Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Current price
4.75¢
+0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4.75%
$2.6K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the first person formally nominated for Vice President by the Democratic Party in the 2028 cycle who accepts the nomination. Official Democratic Party sources, including the party's official website, serve as the basis for verification. The market also explicitly clarifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee after the initial formal nomination and acceptance will not alter the outcome.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Ossoff will become the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee. Resolution depends strictly on the first person formally nominated who accepts, and any subsequent replacement before election day is disregarded.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Jon Ossoff is the first individual formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle and accepts the nomination. The market resolves No if someone else is the first person formally nominated and accepts. Any replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not change the market resolution. The outcome is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.