New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
3 live outcomes · highest priced: Su Chiao-hui at 61% (+6 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 29, 2026 · $119.4K total volume
About this event
This event covers the upcoming mayoral election in New Taipei, scheduled for November 28, 2026. Markets within the event track individual candidates and measure which person will emerge as the next elected Mayor of New Taipei.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific candidate running for the mayoral seat. Because the markets resolve based on the single candidate who wins the election and becomes the next mayor, at most one candidate's market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A candidate's market resolves Yes if they become the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of the Taiwanese local elections. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed prior to the election are not considered. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or solely by official results from Taiwan's Central Election Commission if ambiguity arises. If the election outcome is not known or no candidate is elected by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Election date: — Taiwanese local elections scheduled to take place
- Resolution deadline: — 11:59 PM ET deadline, after which the market resolves to "Other" if the result is unknown or no candidate has been elected
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Taiwanese government (Central Election Commission)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 61% | ▲ 6 | Low | Med | |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 38% | ▼ 4 | Low | Low | |
| Huang Kuo-chang | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |