EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Change in points, 24hView event →
Politics markets
897 live Polymarket markets in 417 events- EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 63–84% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 16 PTS
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks50.5¢−5.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NO CLEAR CATALYSTNo headline in the hours around the move explains it.5 headlines checked - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 86–97% - MedGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 13 PTS
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions37.5¢+2¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCENot enough evidence for a likely driver yet. - EVENT · 24 OUTCOMES
Democratic VP Nominee 2028
+19 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Hormuz Agreement · 7 daysRange 80–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Change in points, 24hView event →No Next Minister by Feb 28 · 7 daysRange 31–42% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver10.95¢+5.1¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 5.85–13.45¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Yashar · 7 daysRange 49–75% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Flávio Bolsonaro <4%47%▲ 7Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%▼ 6Lula da Silva <4%21%▲ 2Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%6%▼ 3Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%▼ 1+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 9 OUTCOMES
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot50%▲ 6Benjamin Netanyahu28%▼ 5Naftali Bennett14%±0Avigdor Lieberman3%±0Itamar Ben Gvir<1%±0+4 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia · 7 daysRange 61–75% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chiang Wan-an · 7 daysRange 57–68% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 82–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 63–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lauren Boebert (R) · 7 daysFlat at 72% - EVENT · 35 OUTCOMES
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
+30 more outcomesView event → - MedGotcha
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverTimingExceptions21.5¢−4¢ 7d7 daysRange 21.5–25.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jamie Ager (D) · Since Oct 14Range 75–86% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Abbott (R) · 7 daysRange 73–80% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 7 daysRange 69–71% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Sherrod Brown (D) · 7 daysRange 62–69% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 7 daysRange 88–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Su Chiao-hui · 7 daysRange 46–67% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chris Pappas (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tina Kotek (D) · 7 daysRange 76–79% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brandon Herrera (R) · 7 daysRange 64–72% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Hamilton Wins · Since Oct 14Range 37–39% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rebecca Bennett (D) · 7 daysRange 90–93% - LowGotcha
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver72.5¢+2.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 70–73¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Cooper 9-12% · Since Oct 17Range 23–26% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ryan Elijah (R) · 7 daysRange 64–71% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lloyd Smucker (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5.2¢+0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.4–7.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
RI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Seth Magaziner (D) · Since Oct 14Range 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
IA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lindsay James (D) · 7 daysRange 57–63% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Shannon Taylor (D) · 7 daysRange 54–60% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-26 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mario Díaz-Balart (R) · 7 daysRange 89–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Change in points, 24hView event →Labour Party · 7 daysRange 54–55% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.8¢+1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–5.95¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.7¢+1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.7¢