Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
19 live outcomes · highest priced: Gadi Eizenkot at 46% (−8 pts in 24h) · first close Oct 28, 2026 · $47.5M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will become the Prime Minister of Israel following the next parliamentary election, scheduled for 2026 or held earlier. Each market represents a potential candidate.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual candidate markets. Based on the rules stating that resolution goes to the next individual officially appointed and sworn in, at most one candidate market is expected to resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named individual is officially appointed and formally sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election or an early election. Interim or caretaker Prime Ministers do not count. If no Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other". Resolution relies on official information from the Government of Israel or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Scheduled legislative election date: — Scheduled date for Israeli legislative elections, unless called early.
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to 'Other' if no Prime Minister is sworn in by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Israel, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 46% | ▼ 8 | Low | High | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 31% | ▲ 3 | Med | High | |
| Naftali Bennett | 13% | ▼ 1 | Med | High | |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 3% | ▲ 1 | Med | High | |
| Ofer Winter | <1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | <1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Israel Katz | <1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Benny Gantz | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Yair Golan | <1% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Gideon Sa’ar | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Moshe Feiglin | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Yoaz Hendel | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Nir Barkat | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Gilad Erdan | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Yair Lapid | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Yariv Levin | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Ayelet Shaked | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |