Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

This event tracks the margin of victory in the first round of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. Individual markets measure whether the winning party candidate achieves victory within specific percentage margin brackets relative to the second-place candidate.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured as mutually exclusive percentage margin brackets for the candidates. Because a single election margin falls into only one bracket (with tie-breaking rules and higher-bracket rules for boundary values), at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves Yes if the specified party candidate wins the election within the defined margin bracket, and No otherwise. The margin is the absolute difference between the vote percentages of the top two candidates divided by total valid votes. Resolution occurs once the vote count is made official, or following a completed recount. If results are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to Other.

Key dates

• Expected election date: Nov 3, 2026 — Expected date for the first round of the Georgia gubernatorial election
• Definitive result deadline: Jun 30, 2027 — Results must be known definitively by 11:59 PM ET, or the market resolves to Other

Resolution source

Official results published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 19 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC